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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 30th, 2017–Dec 31st, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Great skiing right now with the new snow. Sluffing is a real hazard and watch for localized wind slab development at higher elevations.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Sunday will be sunny with cloudy periods and no new snow. Temperatures are finally beginning to moderate, and after another cold night the daytime high should be a comparably pleasant -13 °C at higher elevations. Ridge top winds will be out of the west at 15 km/h. As the week progresses temperatures will continue to moderate with highs near 0°C by Wednesday or Thursday.

Avalanche Summary

Loose dry avalanches continue to occur in steep terrain at all elevations and on all aspects. These slides are generally size 1.5 or smaller, but are running a far distance in some terrain features.

Snowpack Summary

Another 10 to 15cm of new snow overnight brings the storm snow total to 40 to 50cm. This snow is mostly still low density in nature except in the high Alpine and in wind prone areas. Expect to find slabs on all aspects in the Alpine that have either been recently formed, or formed earlier in the storm and are now buried. At Treeline and below the Dec 15th surface hoar layer is buried between 40 and 60cm deep and is failing in loose dry avalanches, but not yet as a slab due the lack of an overlying cohesive layer. With increased winds this could change. Recent snowpits are showing that the November crusts are faceting, but these layers have not been active as an avalanche problem.

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.