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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 28th, 2017–Dec 29th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Banff Yoho Kootenay.

We have increased the danger rating due to loose dry avalanches which can run further than expected in steep terrain, especially gullies where the sluff can collect and travel far. SH

Weather Forecast

Friday looks like a cold one with highs in the -20's.  Some forecasts are calling for 15cm from Thursday to Sat with light to moderate winds shifting to the East.  There is potential for temperatures to start moderating at the start of the New Year.

Snowpack Summary

The upper snow-pack is facetting with the cold temperatures and starting to sluff easily in steep terrain. Some thin, hard wind slabs observed in lee areas in the alpine. The Dec.15 layer of surface hoar (below 2100m) and hard surfaces or facets (depending on location) is down 15-30 cm. Some moderate shears have been observed around this interface.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche control at Sunshine Village resulted in very thin wind slabs which were very stubborn in nature out of very steep terrain.  The main concern was the facets which were initiated and acted as a loose dry avalanche running further than expected.  Similar reports from recreational ski parties in steep gully terrain.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.