Summary
Confidence
Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Wednesday
Weather Forecast
Tuesday/Wednesday: The ridge of high pressure should begin to break down. Light/thin clouds are possible with temperatures slowly falling to more seasonal values. Expect light to moderate westerly winds. There is a slight chance of isolated flurries developing late on Wednesday.Thursday: A high pressure system builds promoting clear and dry conditions with light westerly winds and 1800m freezing levels.
Avalanche Summary
Solar aspects have been very active showing lots of natural loose wet avalanches and cornice releases up to size 2.5.
Snowpack Summary
Surface faceting and surface hoar growth ( up to 20 mm) has been prevalent on shady slopes at upper elevations, while the surface snow on sun-exposed slopes and at lower elevations has been subject to daily melt-freeze cycles. Cornices are large and weak.Surface hoar buried March 10th is down 100cm in most places. This layer seems to be bonding in most places and is a low probability - high consequence problem. Triggering may be possible with a very large load (cornice fall) or hitting the sweet spot in thin, variable snowpack areas.
