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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 11th, 2016–Mar 12th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Extra caution is required in wind loaded terrain on Friday.If you're out in the mountains, please send us your observations and help improve this bulletin.

Confidence

Low - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

3-6cm of new snowfall is expected on Saturday with freezing levels around 1000m and strong alpine winds from the southeast. A mix of sun and cloud is expected for both Sunday and Monday with afternoon freezing levels around 1000m and light to moderate alpine winds from the southeast.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday, a MIN report from Smithers (https://goo.gl/ssYcRw) describes a natural size 1.5 wind slab that released on a southeast aspect at 1600m and was 30cm thick. Natural activity was also heard but not observed from cliffy terrain in the south of the region. On Wednesday, a few natural wind slabs up to size 2.5 were observed in steep wind-loaded alpine terrain in the south of the region. There was also a large cornice fall that did not trigger a slab on the slope below. In the northern part of the region there were some reports of solar induced slabs to size 3 on south aspects, and natural cornice falls. One cornice fall triggered a size 4 avalanche that released on the ground and cleaned out an entire bowl. It was 1km wide and ran 1.5km.

Snowpack Summary

Roughly 20-40 cm of snow has fallen in the past week, with the highest accumulations occurring in the southwest of the region. Strong ridgetop winds have shifted the new snow into hard or soft wind slabs in exposed terrain, adding to an ongoing wind slab problem. A layer of surface hoar from early January can be found in isolated locations between 60 and 140 cm down. There hasn't been any activity reported on this layer for a couple of weeks now and it is becoming less of a concern. In shallower areas the snowpack sits on a weak base layer of facetted snow. Recently, this layer has been active in the north of the region, responsible for several large avalanches in unsupported alpine terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.