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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 2nd, 2025–Mar 3rd, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Little Yoho.

While cooling is expected to end the widespread natural avalanche cycle on Monday, the likelihood of human-triggering the persistent slab this week remains less certain.

Caution is still advised on slopes that do not exhibit a surface crust, which can be expected to be largely unaffected by last week's heating.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

This weekend, widespread slab avalanches were observed on steep, solar-exposed terrain entraining wet snow at lower elevations to sz 3. Several cornice failures were also reported at local ski resorts, triggering persistent slabs up to size 2.5.

Avalanche Control:

Saturday - Mount Whymper - 12 shots = 12 slabs sz 2.5-3.5 on the Jan 30 layer

Sunday - Simpson and Wardle - 13 shots = 13 slabs sz 1.5-3 mainly persistent slabs however a few stepped down into midpack or basal layers

Snowpack Summary

10 to 30 cm of snow fell last week on a weak layer of facets, surface hoar, or sun crust. Extreme west winds and warm temperatures have encouraged slab formation (and created solar crusts). Previous slabs, another 10 to 30cm thick sit on a similar weak layer buried January 30.

The mid and lower snowpack is mostly well-settled, though it is heavily facetted in thin snowpack areas. Tree-line snow depths range from 120 cm to 180 cm.

Weather Summary

A weak low moved into Alberta Sunday afternoon. Light NE winds will bring upslope cooling overnight . Trace amounts of snow can be expected Monday as the low is pushed west by a ridge forming behind it in Alberta. Less than 5 cm is expected before winds shift back west Tuesday bringing clearing.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep in mind that human triggering may persist as natural avalanches taper off.
  • A hard crust on the snow surface will help strengthen the snowpack, but may cause tough travel conditions.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.