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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 22nd, 2020–Feb 23rd, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

Avalanche danger will increase as storm slabs build through the day Sunday. Where new snow depths exceed 30 cm, avalanche danger will rise to HIGH at alpine and treeline elevations.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Saturday night: Light flurries bringing up to 5 cm new snow. Light to moderate southwest wind. Alpine low -7 C. Freezing level 900 m.

Sunday: 20 to 40 cm new snow with lighter accumulations around Whistler. Strong southwest wind. Alpine high -6 C. Freezing level 1000 m.

Monday: Mix of sun and cloud. Light to moderate northwest wind. Alpine high -4 C. Freezing level 700 m.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries. Light to moderate southwest wind. Alpine high -3 C. Freezing level 900 m.

Avalanche Summary

The only reports of avalanche activity on Thursday or Friday were a few isolated skier triggered wind slabs to size 1 and cornice control work to size 2.

A widespread natural storm slab avalanche cycle is expected Sunday with significant new snow and wind.

Snowpack Summary

20-40 cm of new snow is forecast to fall through the day Sunday. Forecast strong southwest winds are expected to redistribute the new snow at alpine and treeline elevations, loading deep deposits into lee features. These storm slabs may slide easily where they overly a layer of widespread surface facets, surface hoar in sheltered areas or sun crusts on solar aspects.

Faceted snow and crusts exist near the base of the snowpack in much of the region. This layer is dormant at the moment but appears to be most likely a problem on the eastern side of the region, in alpine terrain, and where there is relatively smooth ground (e.g., glaciers, scree slopes, rock slabs).

Terrain and Travel

  • Good day to make conservative terrain choices.
  • Use increased caution at all elevations. Storm snow is forming touchy slabs.
  • Storm slab size and sensitivity to triggering will likely increase through the day.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.