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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 15th, 2026–Feb 16th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper, Brazeau, Churchill, Cirrus-Wilson, Fryatt, Icefields, Maligne, Marmot, Miette Lake, Pyramid.

Watch for unstable snow on extreme steep alpine terrain. Low Danger indicates natural and human triggered avalanches are unlikely but not impossible. Small avalanches in extreme terrain can have calamitous consequences. A Special Weather Statement for Jasper could bring 10-30cm of snow Monday to Wednesday but looks unlikely.

Confidence

High

  • We are confident due to a stable weather pattern.

Avalanche Summary

No patrol occurred Saturday or Sunday. Friday's patrol did not observe anything new and nothing observed for a week.

Snowpack Summary

5-15 cm of soft snow in sheltered locations or wind impacted surfaces overly various old surfaces such as melt freeze crusts or older wind affected snow. A thin surface hoar is buried down 5- 15 cm and is very patchy in its distribution. The rest of the snowpack is generally dense and well consolidated.

Weather Summary

Monday to Thursday will be sun, flurries, trace of new snow, light winds, -8 to -26 °C. Thursday will be a high of -15 °C. Environment Canada has issued a Special Weather Statement for Central to Southern Alberta including Jasper with 10-20cm expected and possibly 30cm locally Monday through Wednesday. Our models show us on the fringe of this active weather with only 2-5cm.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful with wind-loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.