Avalanche forecast

Cariboos

Dec 15 – 16, 2025Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Wed
Thu
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
4 · High
Below
3 · Considerable

Highlights

Another round of snow, wind, and warm temperatures!

Natural avalanches are expected - avoid avalanche terrain and overhead hazard. Weak layers may produce full path avalanches.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    2–3.5

    A layer of surface hoar and a melt-freeze crust lurk in the middle of the snowpack. If triggered, it will produce a large and dangerous avalanche.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely - Very Likely
    Size
    1.5–3

    Ongoing loading will continue unstable conditions. Slabs may fail on a variety of mid storm interfaces.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

We expect widespread natural avalanche activity to occur with the warm temperatures, wind and rain. Slabs may run within the recent storm snow, or on buried weak layers.

Snowpack Summary

Storm totals continue to rise! Another 20-50 cm of new snow adds to the 50-80 cm of rapidly settling snow from the last week.

Below all of this storm snow, sits a weak layer of surface hoar - most likely in sheltered treeline features. Wide propagating, remotely triggered avalanches have been recently triggered on this layer, which appears to be widespread south of Highway 16 and spottier north of the highway.

Below this is a hard melt-freeze crust from mid-November that may be an issue in the south of the region, especially where combined with facets.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy. 2 to 10 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.

Monday
Cloudy. 15 to 25 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 2000 m.

Tuesday
Mostly cloudy. 10 to 25 cm of snow. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1000 m.

Wednesday
Mostly cloudy. 5 to 15 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C. Freezing level 200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain; avalanches may run surprisingly far.
  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • Be aware of the potential for remote triggering and large avalanches due to buried surface hoar.

Regions covered