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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 4th, 2026–Feb 5th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

North Columbia, Clearwater, McBride, Premier, Quesnel, Clemina.

A cohesive slab rests over a weak layer and may be primed to human triggering. During times of uncertainty, choose conservative terrain.
Check out our latest video conditions update here.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to how buried persistent weak layers will react with the forecast weather.
  • We are uncertain due to the timing or intensity of warming will affect the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Several rider-triggered and remote-triggered avalanches (up to size 1.5) continue to be reported. These avalanches released on the late January surface hoar layer/crust mentioned in the snowpack summary.

On Thursday, natural and human-triggered avalanches are likely as continued warming and solar radiation reach mountain top elevations.

Snowpack Summary

A melt-freeze crust may be present up to mountain top, but it will likely soften through the day with warm temperatures and sunshine. Below this, 30 to 45 cm of dry, settling snow sits above a persistent weak crust/ surface hoar and facet layer that was buried in late January. This layer continues to be reactive across the region.

The mid and lower snowpack is well settled.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night
Clear skies. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 2800 m.

Thursday
Sunny. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2800 m.

Friday
Sunny. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2600 m.

Saturday
Mix of sun and clouds. 5 to 10 cm of snow. 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • The more the snowpack warms up and weakens, the more conservative your terrain selection should be.
  • Stay away from steep slopes, open slopes, and convex rolls at and below treeline where weak layers may be preserved.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.
  • Avoid travelling on slopes below cornices.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.