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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 31st, 2026–Feb 1st, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Flathead, Lizard, Moyie, St. Mary.

Use careful route-finding to stay on low-consequence slopes.

Storm slabs will remain reactive longer than usual due to the underlying weak layer.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain about how quickly the snowpack will recover and gain strength.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous storm slabs were observed in the region on Saturday and Friday. Most of these avalanches occurred at treeline and below and failed on the late January surface hoar/crust layer described in the snowpack summary. They have been reported to have propagated widely (up to 300 m). While most of them were small (size 1 to 1.5), explosive controls near Fernie produced large slabs (up to 2.5).

Snowpack Summary

15 to 30 cm of snow now overlies the late January surface hoar/crust layer. This new snow has been accompanied by strong south and west winds, meaning that the crust is still on the surface on southerly aspects, while deeper deposits are found on north and east aspects.

The late January surface hoar is largest on sheltered treeline and below treeline features from 1500 to 1900 meters and may not exist on exposed terrain in the alpine.

The mid and lower snowpack is well settled.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1700 m.

Sunday
Mostly cloudy. 2 to 5 cm of snow or rain at treeline. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.

Monday
A mix of sun and clouds. 50 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

Tuesday
Mostly cloudy. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1900 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Remote triggering is a concern; avoid terrain where triggering overhead slopes is possible.
  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the old surface.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.