Avalanche forecast

Southeast Mountains

Crested Butte Avalanche Center
View on map

Avalanche danger

Tue
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 3 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

The chance of natural or human-triggered avalanche activity has greatly reduced since the weekend. Caution is still advised for a few areas, such as wind-loaded terrain, below large cornices, and on northerly facing slopes holding a below-average snowpack between about 3 to 5 feet deep (100-150cm). Strong winds and cloud cover are expected to keep many snow surfaces frozen.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–3.5

    Large, stubborn slabs several feet thick or more exist over faceted weak layers in the upper snowpack.  Remote triggers and natural avalanches failing on these persistent weak layers have been gradually diminishing since widespread activity last week. The most recent persistent slabs have required larger triggers such as the mass of a smaller avalanche running through the terrain or a cornice falling. The greatest number of avalanches have occurred on easterly-facing slopes where faceted crusts exist. Similar structures exist on west-facing terrain, and shallow slopes on the northern half of the compass have also been problematic.  Recent warming on lower elevation and more southerly aspects has strengthened the upper snowpack with crusts, and triggering persistent slabs is less likely in that terrain. 

    Early warning signs for this avalanche problem are rare and feedback is infrequent. You can reduce your chance of triggering this avalanche problem by avoiding recently wind-loaded terrain and unusually shallow terrain.  Safer riding is where the snowpack is deep, wind-protected, and on slope angles less than 35 degrees, without steeper slopes above. 

    Very large persistent slab on the east face of Gothic Mountain. 3/31. This avalanche was likely triggered by a cornice falling onto the slope. 

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1–2

    Snow available for transport into new wind slabs has mostly run out. While the current southwest winds are doing more wind erosion than actual wind loading. Old wind slabs are stubborn and will be difficult to human trigger. Caution is still recommended on wind-loaded terrain and below large cornices. 

    A wind slab triggered by a cornice fall. ~4/1.

Avalanche Discussion

We had the full kitchen sink of avalanche problems over the weekend. From hot storm slabs and wet avalanches to very large persistent slabs and numerous cornice avalanches. CBAC forecasters have been out verifying avalanche conditions and those avalanches were documented in the observations tab

On Monday, loose wet avalanche concerns have ended with the forecasted cloud cover and strong wind keeping snow surfaces cool. Snow available for transport by the wind has mostly run out, so start zones are no longer seeing much for wind-loading. We can't completely rule out the existence of a few stubborn wind slabs, or another random cornice falling today. Otherwise, we are just waiting for the incoming storm to create new avalanche problems for Tuesday.  

Regions covered