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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 17th, 2015–Jan 18th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

South Coast.

Enough snow and wind could tip the avalanches danger to HIGH at alpine elevations on Sunday. Back off if you encounter any clues like recent avalanches, whumpfing or shooting cracks.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

Overnight Saturday, 10-25 cm snow is expected, with the freezing level rising to around 1600 m towards the end of the precipitation. Expect strong to gale SW winds. By late Monday, precipitation and wind are expected to ease. Light snow is possible on Tuesday.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

Recent storm snow is likely to be shifted by strong winds into slabs overlying a hard crust or surface hoar. These may be easy to trigger with the weight of a person or snowmobile. Deeper snowpack weaknesses are still on our radar, but seem to be dormant for the time being.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.