With incoming weather and weak surface snow, a rapid progression to higher hazard could occur over the next few days. Watch snowfall amounts carefully.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Active weather crossed the divide early Monday with a warm front bringing light precip, moderate SW winds and a significant warming trend. About 15cm is expected by midday Tuesday. A second system Wednesday looks very similar with perhaps stronger winds. Expect new snow, warm temps, and strong winds to rapidly form slabs over the described snowpack
Snowpack Summary
20 to 30 cm of weak, faceted snow is bonding poorly to a variety of surfaces: suncrust SW to SE and previous wind effect open areas. Faceting also continues in the bottom 40 cm of the snowpack where depth hoar has now replaced old crusts, the slab of hard snow above this provides all of the strength to our snow pack but this is extremely variable.
Avalanche Summary
Widespread minor wind generated surface sluffing in steep terrain has gouged into some wind affected slopes to release very soft slabs that wind loading has created over the weak surface facets. Skiers in steep terrain will find very easy sluffing 20 to 30 cm deep. All of these events run far on the firm surfaces until they hit lower angle terrain.
Confidence
Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain