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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 21st, 2017–Feb 22nd, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Recent avalanche activity has us doubting the snowpack in large terrain. Ski quality is good in sheltered areas at the moment.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Convective flurries will bring us a few cm's tomorrow. Amounts are expected to be around 5cm, but this could vary locally. The alpine high will be -12. Light winds are expected from the north.

Avalanche Summary

A sz1.5 was noted below steep cliffs in the alpine. It only involved the storm snow.

Snowpack Summary

At Burstall Pass the recent snow has settled to 20cm with total depths approaching 2m. In places this new snow is a very soft slab that has been reactive in the past 24 hours. Beneath the new snow, the mid pack is well settled and gets progressively harder as you move down in the snowpack. The deeper layers are a mix of weak facets and depth hoar. There were repeatable failures(CTH22, SC) in the facet layer, down 50-70cm. This failure was difficult to initiate, however we expect this layer is weaker and easier to trigger in thin areas.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.