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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 20th, 2019–Mar 21st, 2019

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Hopefully by saturday the cooler temps will arrive and help stabilize the snow. Until then the snowpack will rapidly weaken in the afternoon.

Confidence

-

Weather Forecast

The warm weather will continue for a few days yet. Tomorrow has a posted high of 5°, but expect them to be a bit higher when the sun is factored in. Clear skies are expected, as are light westerly winds.

Avalanche Summary

Lots of loose wet avalanches in the PM. Any aspect that gets the sun has become reactive by mid day. Of note, many point release avalanches are triggering slabs as they flow.

Snowpack Summary

Widespread crusts in the morning which are quickly breaking down in the early afternoon. Thats the current pattern. What's important to note is the snowpack is still a winter one. Meaning it still has layers buried beneath which could fail. Northern aspects in particular will preserve these layers and keep them active for some time yet. The good news is that the warm weather pattern is predictable.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.