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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 4th, 2016–Apr 5th, 2016

Alpine
Below Threshold.
Treeline
Below Threshold.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Below Threshold.
Treeline
Below Threshold.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Below Threshold.
Treeline
Below Threshold.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Jasper.

With snow expected for the next few days, please click the "More Spring Conditions details" button and read "Spring Conditions Scenario 1:  Cold and Snowy".  The "Terrain and Travel Advice" section will help guide your decision making.

Weather Forecast

Up to 20 cm of snow expected with cool temperatures and moderate SW winds.  Dramatic change on Thursday with rising freezing levels and intense solar radiation.

Snowpack Summary

The freezing level is dropping BTL (1200 m) developing a strengthening melt freeze crust at tree-line and above. Expecting up to 10 cm of snow by Tuesday afternoon. Isothermal continuing conditions below tree-line (BLT). The deep persistent slab problem still the biggest concern on North alpine aspects. BTL becoming below threshold in most areas.

Avalanche Summary

No recent reports or observations today (no avalanche patrol).  Point releases and wet slab avalanches have been observed to size 3 running at all elevations primarily on solar aspects. Fewer slides are occurring on northerly terrain. Ice climbs are cracking and collapsing because of the warm temps.

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.