Avalanche forecast

Central Sierra Nevada

Sierra Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 11 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

MODERATE avalanche danger exists on all aspects and elevations on slopes 35 degrees and steeper. Wind slabs represent the primary avalanche concern on near and above treeline slopes with loose dry sluffs posing more of an issue in sheltered terrain. Human triggered avalanches remain possible today. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully before committing to a slope instead of letting the excitement of early season snow lead to poor decision making. 

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2

    While many of the wind slabs that formed during the storm have become slightly more difficult to trigger, human triggering of these slabs remains possible. Stepping on or riding over trigger points or having more than one person on a slope would make triggering these wind slabs easier. In addition to the wind slabs that formed on the N-NE-E aspects during the storm, new wind slabs may have started to form on the opposite aspects (W-SW-S) since the winds have shifted to the north and east. These new wind slabs will remain smaller, but more sensitive than the older ones. The NW and SE aspects get cross loaded with both wind directions. Wind slabs could exist on any exposed near and above treeline aspects today. Most avalanches that result from the failure of these wind slabs should fail at or above the old snow surface; however, some of them could step down into older snow layers in areas where the wind slabs exist on top of old hard slabs on the NW-N-NE aspects. Avalanches involving wind slabs could entrain enough snow to bury a person.

    Cornices above a slope, wind ripples, drifts, blowing snow, and other signs of wind loading can all serve as clues to help recognize slopes where wind slabs may exist. If a near or above treeline area looks nicely filled in and smooth and rounded, wind slabs likely exist in that area. Complex or extreme terrain like couliors and unsupported slopes will hold unstable wind slabs longer than other terrain and also have more potential consequences.

  • Wet Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    Loose dry snow sluffs will remain possible today. Steep slopes in near and below treeline terrain on NW-N-NE-E aspects sheltered from the winds hold the best potential for these kind of instabilities since they had more previous snow coverage. These instabilities could also exist on other near and below treeline aspects, but they will be more isolated and smaller on the SE-S-SW-W aspects due to the fact that most of those aspects did not have snow cover prior to this storm.

Avalanche Discussion

Yesterday on Wildflower Ridge and Mt. Judah, ski cuts on steep non wind affected test slopes triggered loose dry sluffs, and ski cuts and kicks on some wind loaded test slopes triggered wind slab failures. These wind slabs had become slightly more difficult to trigger than the previous day. Additional weighting of the wind loaded test slopes where the new wind slabs rested on top of old hard slabs on top of old facets caused failures in the facets below the old hard slabs. Snowpit data also indicated that areas with this layering remain suspect and that failures could occur in the old snow layers in these places. Stepping into the snow to dig a snowpit in one of these locations also triggered a large whumph as the lower weak layer collapsed.

Regions covered