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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 20th, 2012–Feb 21st, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

The Valentine's layers of surface hoar/facets/sun crust are now buried 30 to 45cm and are highly sensitive to human triggering. Several skier remote and skier accidental avalanches have occurred over the past 48 hours.

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain on Wednesday

Weather Forecast

Avalanche Summary

Num sluffs to size 1.5 from steep ALP terrain on N and E asp.Sev Na slabs up to size 2.,5 2200m to 2700m, mostly N and E asp. Suspect 120213 as failure plane.! size 2.0 slab triggered by skiers cutting out a chunk of cornice and rolling it down hill on SE asp at 2500m. Chunk rolled approx 100m and triggered a slab 45cm deep X 25m wide X 300m long.2 Sr size 2.0 and 1.5 reported yesterday in Hero's knob area from NE asp in ALP1 Sa size 1.0 reported yesterday from Hero's knob area in BTL terrain.

Snowpack Summary

5 to 7cm Hn. Total of 30 to 45cm over Valentine's layers. Wind affect ALP and variable wind affect TL and BTL.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.