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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 19th, 2014–Mar 20th, 2014

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Heavy snowfall warning for the region could bring 20cm with NW winds by the end of Thursday. A very conservative approach to terrain is strongly recommended over the next couple of days.

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Snowy conditions are expected Thursday with as much as 20cm of new snow in the next 24hrs. Winds will become moderate from the NW with alpine temperatures climbing to -9 degrees. A further 5 to 10cm is possible on Friday.

Avalanche Summary

A few new naturally triggered slabs were observed today in steep Alpine and Treeline terrain. These slabs occurred on E and SE aspects and were of variable depth. Sizes ranged from 1.5 to 2.0 with one of the slides running to 3/4 fan.

Snowpack Summary

Recent storm snow is settling. Sun crusts are found on steep solar aspects at all elevations. Wind slab development continues in the Alpine and Treeline with persistent Westerly winds. The Feb 10th layer remains reactive and is buried between 80 and 110cm.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.