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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 29th, 2017–Jan 30th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

Fresh wind slabs have formed and will be reactive to human triggers at higher elevations.

Confidence

High - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

MONDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods, light west winds, alpine temperatures around -6 C.TUESDAY: Sunny, moderate northeast winds, alpine temperatures around -8 C.WEDNESDAY: Sunny, moderate northeast winds, alpine temperatures around -12 C.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous small wind slabs were reactive to human triggers on northerly aspects over the weekend (in the size 1-1.5 range). Wind slabs will likely continue to be reactive to human triggers in the lee of exposed terrain the next few days.

Snowpack Summary

Light flurries with strong southerly winds have formed fresh wind slabs in the lee of exposed terrain. About 5 cm new snow sits above a thin breakable sun crust and isolated pockets of surface hoar, potentially creating weak interfaces for wind slabs to propagate along. Old lingering wind slabs may also exist in the immediate lee of ridges. A total of 60-120 cm of settled storm snow now forms our upper snowpack and has generally bonded well to the crust below. The exception may be thin rocky areas. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled but still feature a number of facet and crust layers that warrant long term monitoring.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.