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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 9th, 2014–Feb 10th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Good day to consider longer alpine tours while the ski penetration remains low.

Weather Forecast

A weak ridge of high pressure gives dry and cold condtions again to today, expect alpine temps around -10 and light ridge top winds from the south.  Flurries will start overnight with 10 cm of snow forecast for Monday with increasing southerly winds, gusting to 45 km/h.  Snow is forecast to continue Tuesday with another 15 cm.

Snowpack Summary

A variety of surfaces exists including hard slab, loose, cold facets, and breakable crust. Wind slabs are present in exposed terrain on many aspects due to reverse loading winds over the last 2 days. 2 buried surface hoar layers are present in the upper 15 cm of snow, waiting to be loaded by the incoming storm. The mid pack is well settled.

Avalanche Summary

Ski-cuts are producing fast sluffing to size 1 in the upper 5-15cm in loose, faceted snow. The faceted snow entrained mass and flowed into low angle terrain over 250-300m downhill. While these sluffs were not big enough to bury a person, you would certainly be pushed over by them, disconcerting in "no-fall" zones with cliffs below.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.