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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 28th, 2015–Nov 29th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Ice climbers should beware of temperature inversion conditions on steep solar exposed climbs that are producing large avalanches.  Avoid these areas until temperatures cool on Monday.

Weather Forecast

Inversion conditions to continue on Sunday with freezing levels between 2100 and 3000m.  The inversion weakens on Monday.  Winds remain light, with cold temperatures overnight in valley bottoms. No precipitation until late next week.

Snowpack Summary

Previous frigid temperatures have weakened the snowpack. Whumphing noted on pockets of windslab in exposed areas around treeline. Alpine is scoured in wind exposed areas. Surface hoar formation and faceting is widespread. Warm temps in past 48hrs producing thin sun crust on solar aspects at treeline and above.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous loose dry avalanches up to size 2.5 noted on Saturday afternoon in steep solar facing gulleys between 2100 and 2700 m.  Whumphing observed in open areas at treeline on windslab.  No avalanche propagation observed but possible on steeper slopes.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Monday

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.