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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 8th, 2017–Jan 9th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

10cm of forecasted snow with light winds keeping the Avalanche Hazard at Moderate. If winds increase before Tuesday the Avalanche Hazard will rise with them. Stay tuned in to changing weather conditions in your area.

Weather Forecast

Snow starting late Sunday night and throughout Monday, up to 15cm. Winds are expected to be light during the storm then blow moderate from the NW on Tuesday as they bring back the cold dry air (below - 20). A temperature inversion was observed along the Parkway today, up to 10 degrees warmer at higher elevations.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is shallow, faceted and weak. The Nov. crust can still be found about 30 cm from ground but is faceting into large depth hoar. The upper half of the snowpack has layers of wind slabs.

Avalanche Summary

Within the past 48hrs, several Sz 2.5 slab and Sz 1.5 loose dry avalanches observed along the Icefields Parkway. Pockets of slab pulling out in cross loaded gullies, 30-40 degree slopes on Westerly aspects. Loose dry activity on all aspects and elevations.Recent cold temps have made free hanging ice brittle and is breaking off.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Monday

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.