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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 11th, 2017–Feb 12th, 2017

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

The Icefields Parkway and Maligne Lake Road remain closed until winds ease to allow for helicopter avalanche control of alpine slide paths.  Good time to make some laps at the ski hill.

Weather Forecast

Strong  SW winds to continue on Sunday with light flurries possible.  The wind finally abates on Monday with clearing skies and warming temperatures.

Snowpack Summary

30-40cm of recent snow is building windslab at treeline and above with continued strong SW winds. A reactive storm slab can be found at all elevations and aspects. The upper snow pack has several touchy surface hoar and facet layers which are now buried 40-50cm and 60-80cm. The mid-pack is facetted and weak, with depth hoar at its base

Avalanche Summary

The avalanche cycle is continuing in the alpine with natural avalanches observed to Sz 2.5 on alpine lee. Avalanche control revealed the potential for wide windslab propagation.

Confidence

Wind speed and direction is uncertain on Sunday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.