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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 30th, 2015–Mar 31st, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

We are expecting things to cool down and some new snow over the next while. The cooler temps will lock the lower elevation snowpack in place.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Freezing level tomorrow will rise to 2200m by mid afternoon. After that we are expecting a cooling trend with freezing levels to fall to 1500m. Winds will be mostly strong, but gusting to extreme in isolated areas. Mostly sunny skies will keep the new snow to a minimum.

Avalanche Summary

Loose wet cycles continue below treeline.

Snowpack Summary

Extended warmth has made the entire snowpack isothermal below treeline. Treeline has a similar situation except for 2200-2300m in true north aspects where the heat hasn't completely cooked the snowpack. The alpine has had significant freeze/thaw cycles on all aspects except true north. The deeper layers likely remain untouched by the warm air and are still considered a winter snowpack.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.