There is uncertainty with precipitation amounts Tuesday night through Wednesday. Higher than forecast snowfall at upper elevations may raise danger ratings from what is indicated.
Avalanche problems
Storm Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Possible - Likely
Size
1–2
Forecast snow and wind are expected to continue to develop storm slabs in the alpine and at treeline.
Loose Wet
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Possible - Likely
Size
1–2
Warm spring days with high daytime freezing levels mixed with rain at lower elevations may continue to result in loose wet avalanches on all aspects.
Confidence
Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Wednesday
Weather Forecast
WEDNESDAY: Flurries, accumulation 5-10cm Tuesday night and another 5-10cm through the day Wednesday / moderate southwest winds / Alpine temperature -1 / Freezing level 1200 m THURSDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries / Light north wind / Alpine temperature -2 / Freezing level around 1600mFRIDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods / Light east wind / Alpine temperature 0 / Freezing level 1700m
Avalanche Summary
Reports from Monday indicate loose wet avalanches up to size 1.5 on all aspects between 1600 and 2000m. Additionally skier triggered avalanches to size 1.5 and 2 were reported running 40cm deep on the mid March rain crust above 1900m on northerly and southerly aspects.
Snowpack Summary
Unsettled weather over the past week has brought roughly 40-50 cm of snow to the region. Periodic high freezing levels and solar exposure over the same period formed a variety crusts within the storm snow at both lower elevations and on solar aspects. This all overlies a rain crust that formed mid-March at all elevations. At upper elevations, above 2100m approximately, the late and mid-February persistent weak layers (100-150cm down) and basal facets in shallow snowpack areas may still exist.