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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 2nd, 2012–Apr 3rd, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Solar radiation could be intense on Tuesday which will lead to a rise in avalanche danger through the day. Wind slabs, cornices and deeper weak layers will be easier to trigger as the day goes on. Loose wet slides are also a strong possibility.

Confidence

Good - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

A warm, sunny and very windy day is expected on Tuesday. Solar radiation will be significant and freezing levels could hit 2100m. Wednesday is calling for another 15 to 20cm of snow.

Avalanche Summary

Some sluffing was observed in steep terrain. Three avalanches up to size 2.5 were triggered by cornice failures which pulled out slabs below. These were storm slab failures, with one slide stepping to ground. Several natural, skier remote, and skier accidental avalanches up to size 3.0 occurred in the Kananaskis Region and other areas in the southern Rockies on Sunday.

Snowpack Summary

New snow amounts were highly variable across the region with an average of 10cm new at treeline. Extensive wind transport due to strong SW winds is building cornices and wind slabs up to 60cm deep. These slabs are very sensitive where they overlie previously formed sun crusts. Solar aspects are sun crusted, which breaks down during the day with very limited solar input. The February surface hoar and the deeply buried basal facets seem to be coming alive again as we transition into Spring.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.