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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 13th, 2015–Jan 14th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

Staying safe involves careful consideration during this "drought" of fresh soft snow. Be conservative in your terrain choices.

Confidence

Good - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

The next pacific system is forecast for Thursday with a break on Friday then more precipitation on Saturday. Freezing levels should remain around 1000m with a spike to over 2000m on Wednesday, then returning to the 1000m level for the duration of the precipitation event on the weekend.

Avalanche Summary

No report of avalanche activity from yesterday, but there have been reports of snowballing on steep solar aspects.

Snowpack Summary

A thick supportive surface crust has capped most of the snowpack above 1500 metres.  Breakable crust below 1500 metres.  Reports of lingering soft snow and surface hoar development to ridge tops on North aspects.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.