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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 10th, 2019–Jan 13th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

Lingering uncertainty about the ability to trigger deep persistent weak layers requires a cautious approach to terrain.  Avoid thick to thin snowpack transitions, and have a healthy respect for what is above you.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY        A mix of sun and cloud with Moderate SW wind. Alpine temperature inversion with a high of +2 at 2000m.SATURDAY  Mostly Sunny with Light West Winds. Freezing Level rising to 2500m.SUNDAY      Sunny. Calm Winds. Freezing levels 3000m

Snowpack Summary

The Alpine remains wind affected with 20-30cm new wind slabs above many layers of old wind slab. High daytime freezing levels have led to significant settlement and moist snow at tree line and below. At all elevations the mid snowpack is well settled however the bottom remains facetted and weak. Snow cover is variable (160cm average at treeline).

Avalanche Summary

Size 1 Loose Wet debris observed along the Akamina Parkway between 1800 and 2000m on NE and SE aspects.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Saturday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.