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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 18th, 2019–Jan 19th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Incoming snow and strong SW winds will increase the avalanche danger at all elevations

Weather Forecast

Incoming snow with strong SW winds are forecasted for the next 24hrs. Snowfall amounts continue to be down graded now at 10-15cm overnight and Saturday afternoon. Strong to extreme SW winds will redistribute the snow onto lee features. Temps at treeline will be -6C but cooling will occur as the storm passes and the winds decrease into the evening.

Snowpack Summary

Last weeks surface hoar and suncrust will be buried under the incoming new snow. These layers will be the new focus of concern. The additional load may well awaken the deeply buried basal instabilities and wind slab activity can be expected at treeline and above.

Avalanche Summary

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.