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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 28th, 2018–Nov 29th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

North Columbia.

There is a high degree of uncertainty regarding the weak layer that is below this past week's storm snow. Where this nasty layer exists, human triggering may be likely. Conservative terrain choices are key during times of high uncertainty.

Confidence

Low - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Overnight WEDNESDAY: Cloudy / Alpine Low -4 / Light to moderate, west wind / Freezing level 500 m.THURSDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries / Alpine high -4 / Light, west wind / Freezing level 1000 m.FRIDAY: Cloudy / Alpine high -5 / Light, west wind / Freezing level 600 m.SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Alpine high -7 / Light, north wind / Freezing level 400 m.

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches were reported in this region on Tuesday. However, we currently have very few observations from within this region. Please post your observations to the Mountain Information Network (MIN). Although not in this region, a notable size 3, human triggered avalanche was reported in the South Columbia region on November 24th. The avalanche reportedly occurred on a northwest aspect, on a lee feature in the alpine and likely ran on a crust near the bottom of the snowpack. The full report can be found on the Mountain Information network. Click here to read the report

Snowpack Summary

Ongoing snowfall since Sunday night brings total recent storm snow amounts to 40-90 cm. This new snow sits on top of a weak layer of surface hoar (feathery crystals) and sun crust on steep south facing slopes. The surface hoar is most pronounced at treeline and below, but it may be found in sheltered alpine areas.At the base of the snowpack is a crust that formed in late October. There have been no reports of reactivity on this layer in the North Columbia region, however with recent snow, winds and high freezing levels, this layer could become active in isolated locations. Total snowpack depths vary greatly with elevation. Recent reports show depths of 120-210cm in the alpine, 80-150 cm at treeline and 10-120 cm below treeline.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.