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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 27th, 2013–Apr 28th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Weather Forecast

A series of fronts over the next few days before another ridge of high pressure builds on Tues. Today will be overcast with 5mm of precip and freezing levels at 2000m. Sunday will see a few sunny breaks before the next system arrives on overnight. Up to 20mm of precip overnight into Monday, with freezing levels falling to 1300m and strong W winds.

Snowpack Summary

8mm of rain turned to snow early this am above 1900m, but freezing levels are expected to rise to 2000m today. Surface wet grains overly a near isothermal snowpack with various crusts/PWL in top meter. In the alpine, a mix of hard and soft slab persists, with dry snow on polar aspects above 1900m. Lots of variability in snow depth across terrain.

Avalanche Summary

9 size 2-2.5 loose, moist natural avalanches were observed along the highway yesterday. They were from all aspects, start zones were 2000-2700m, and were triggered by warm temps. This activity will continue today due to rain on snow. Cornice failures remain a concern for triggering slab avalanches, mostly failing on PWL's in the top meter.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.