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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 29th, 2015–Nov 30th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Sunshine and a strong temperature inversion with above freezing temperatures at 2000m. Expect an increasing avalanche danger especially on alpine solar aspects.

Weather Forecast

Sunshine and a strong temperature inversion in the alpine should be expected today. Temperatures have been above freezing since mid-day Friday at around the 2000m level. Light northerly winds will not reduce these warming effects significantly. Clear skies in the alpine are expected to dominate until mid week.

Snowpack Summary

Reverse loading from earlier strong northerly winds have created windslab along the immediate lee on alpine solar aspects. These slabs reside on suncrusts on steep solar aspects (S-SW) and surface hoar on other aspects. Surface hoar was observed up to 1700m with moist surface snow from 1900m to 2200m due to the above freezing temps.

Avalanche Summary

Several size 1.5-2.0 avalanches were observed in the highway corridor yesterday. Point release activity was occurring on steeper solar aspects yesterday triggered by above freezing temperatures

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.