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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 7th, 2016–Mar 8th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Watch for lee slope windslab and use caution progressing into avalanche terrain.  Prolonged solar input will increase the avalanche danger.

Weather Forecast

Cloudy with sunny periods today and isolated convective flurries. Cooler temperatures with afternoon freezing level potentially rising to 1700m.    Light S winds with gusts into moderate are forecast.  SW winds tonight will accompany another 6cm of snow which should soften the lower elevation crusty conditions.

Snowpack Summary

Windslabs have formed from moderate S winds Friday and Saturday. Expect these slabs to still be sensitive to human triggering. The Feb 27 interface consisting of crusts on solar aspects and surface hoar and stellars on polar aspects is now down 70cm+.  This layer was the likely sliding layer for many of the recent larger avalanches.

Avalanche Summary

Widespread avalanche cycle over the weekend producing slides mostly in the size 2-2.5 range.  Slides became moist in the lower track and runout of the paths.  Highway avalanche control produced a few size 3 avalanches with most in the size 2.5 range.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.