Don't let yourself become complacent. Avalanche activity has decreased, but the Dec 17 surface hoar is still triggerable and very large avalanches are possible.
Weather Forecast
Today will be a mix of sun and cloud, with an alpine high of -5 and light westerly winds. Wed will be similar but with more sun and an inversion will mean warmer temps in the alpine with a high of -2. The next weather system will arrive later on Thursday, bringing increasing cloud and flurries. Up to 20cm are expected by the end of Friday.
Snowpack Summary
A sun crust up to 2cm thick is present on steep solar aspects. A cohesive slab sits over the Dec 17 surface hoar, which is down 60cm-100cm. Crust/facet layers are present just below the Dec 17 layer with varying thicknesses depending on aspect and elevation. The Nov 9 crust is a 30cm basal layer close to or on the ground.
Avalanche Summary
Two size 2 natural avalanches were observed yesterday from steep north facing terrain. On the weekend there was a size 2.0 skier triggered avalanche in Loop Brook area. It was on an east aspect moraine feature, at 1700m, failing down ~60cm on the Dec 17 surface hoar layer 4-6mm in size, and was 50m wide and 100m long.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.