If you go exploring watch out for localized convective snowfalls.
Avalanche problems
Wind Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Possible
Size
1–2
Fresh snow and moderate winds could create windslabs in the alpine
Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Unlikely - Possible
Size
1.5–2.5
Evidence from recent snowpack tests and whumphing would suggest that a weak layer of facets persists down 20-50cm in some areas, and may be becoming reactive with incremental loading from recent small snowfalls.
Avalanche Summary
Signs of cornice failures up to size 2 have been reported and a large serac triggered avalanche was witnessed off the south side of Mt. Kitchner on Thursday. Large whumpfs on the ridge of Mt. Wilcox were also reported on Thursday.
Confidence
Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain
Weather Forecast
5cm of snow is forecast at the Parker Ridge area overnight Saturday into Sunday. Treeline will be windy with 20-45 km/h westerlys. Freezing level will be around 1700m with a high of -5C. Expect the same closer to Jasper except with less snow. Note that forecast snow amounts have been inaccurate over the past week
Snowpack Summary
Forecast winds and snow could create windslabs in the alpine. A supportive crust exists to 2,100m on all aspects and extends into the alpine on solar slopes. A winter snowpack remains on N aspects above treeline. At upper elevations a weak faceted layer down 20-50cm remains a concern. The snowpack sits on a weak base of facets and depth hoar.