Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 10th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is high, and the below treeline rating is high. Known problems include Deep Persistent Slabs, Loose Wet and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada JMackenzie, Avalanche Canada

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Rain at lower elevations and up to 45cm of new snow will lead to an avalanche cycle. Avoid all avalanche terrain on Tuesday.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Some small loose wet avalanches have been observed on the Canmore Hill. Visibility has been extremely limited today.

Snowpack Summary

Rain soaked snow at lower elevations with small accumulations of heavy wet snow at treeline. Previous wind has created widespread wind slabs at upper elevations. Persistent weak layers down 20 to 80cm are still a concern and these have produced sporadic avalanche activity over the past week. And of course, who could forget about the November facets/depth hoar! Alive and well, this deep persistent problem is likely to become active with the incoming rain, warm temperatures and possibly heavy accumulations at upper elevations..

Weather Summary

Snow will begin Monday night and continue all day Tuesday. Models disagree on snowfall amounts with anywhere between 15 and 45cm predicted in the next 24 hours. On Tuesday winds will be light to moderate from the SW with temperatures near the 0C. Freezing levels will climb to 2100m, so expect rain below this elevation.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches to run full path or even longer.
  • In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.
  • Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

Rain at lower elevations and possibly heavy snow at upper elevations will likely wake up this layer in certain terrain features. Avoid avalanche terrain,

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

A poor overnight freeze is expected at lower elevations. This coupled with steady rain will lead to significant decrease in snow stability. An avalanche cycle is expected.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Numerous layers in the upper snowpack could produce skier or naturally triggered avalanches. Layers of concern exist down 20 to 80cm. The incoming storm could overload the snowpack and produce avalanches on any of these layers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Apr 11th, 2023 4:00PM