Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 26th, 2020 5:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada dsaly, Avalanche Canada

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Avalanche hazard will increase as new snow and elevated winds develop a surface instability around the region.

Summary

Confidence

Low - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations. Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

Thursday night: Cloudy with isolated flurries, up to 10 cm. Alpine low temperature -4 C. Moderate southwest wind.

Friday: Cloudy with scattered flurries, 5-10 cm. Alpine high temperature -4 C. Strong west wind.

Saturday: Flurries and snow, 10-15 cm. Alpine high temperature -5 C. Moderate southwest wind.

Sunday: Flurries and snow, 15-20 cm. Alpine high temperature -6 C. Moderate southwest wind with strong gusts.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche observations were reported this week, this comes from a very limited observation network. 

Looking forward, new snow and wind forecast through Friday are likely to form small but touchy new slabs in leeward terrain, especially near ridgetop.

Snowpack Summary

Flurries will be quickly impacted by strong winds, redistributing loose snow and building slabs. Surface conditions over the region are likely a mix of recent wind slabs and wind-affected snow as well as melt freeze crust on south aspects and below about 1100 metres.

A weak layer of surface hoar crystals buried early March may be found around 30 to 50 cm deep, particularly in sheltered terrain around treeline. Recent observations of this layer are lacking.

An early-season layer of faceted grains and melt-freeze crust near the base of the snowpack likely lingers in high alpine features. The most suspect locations to trigger this layer would be where the snowpack is thin near rocky outcroppings. Large loads, such as cornice fall, may have the potential to trigger it.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for avalanche hazard to increase throughout the day.
  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Flurries falling with strong winds are expected to build and develop slabs. Previous wind transport from north winds and incoming westerly winds means that both recent and fresh wind slabs may be found on a wide range of aspects.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of surface hoar crystals is buried around 30 to 50 cm in sheltered, shady terrain around treeline. Recent warm conditions have likely promoted bonding of this layer but there is uncertainty about whether it is still a problem.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Mar 27th, 2020 5:00PM

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