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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 2nd, 2021–Feb 5th, 2021
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: Waterton Lakes.

The hazard will increase throughout the day as we receive an additional 10-15mm of precipitation. Carefully evaluate how  storm snow is bonding to previous surfaces as slab reactivity will vary with elevation. Expect icy roads on the Akamina Parkway

Weather Forecast

Tuesday:10-15 cm of snow at Cameron Lake with wet snow & rain in the townsite. Freezing level 1500m. SW wind 30km/h gusting 80km

Wed/Thurs: Cloudy with sunny periods & isolated flurries. Trace precipitation. Freezing level valley bottom

Snowpack Summary

Up to 15cm of new snow is expected at higher elevations tuesday. Tuesdays storm will form storm slabs over top of old wind slab. Previous wind slab sits on a firm crust below 1900m. We have not found the buried surface hoar that has been causing instability in neighboring regions but this problem may still exist in isolated pockets.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches observed but we expect a natural cycle to occur tuesday/ wednesday. Please post a MIN if you see anything!

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snow will need time to settle. Bonding of new snow will be variable with fluctuating freezing levels.

  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Loose Wet

Tuesdays storm is forecasted to arrive with high freezing levels. Wet loose avalanches will not be a concern once the temperature begins to drop on Wednesday.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5