Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 9th, 2019 4:07PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
High -
Weather Forecast
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mainly cloudy with flurries, accumulation of 5 cm, moderate southwest winds, alpine temperature -6 CTHURSDAY: Flurries, moderate southwest winds, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level 1200mFRIDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods, light southwest winds, alpine temperature -1 C, possible temperature inversionSATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light southwest winds, alpine temperature 1 C, possible temperature inversion
Avalanche Summary
On Tuesday, a cornice fall triggered a persistent deep slab avalanche in the north of the region. The avalanche was very large (size 3.5) and released to ground, on a northerly aspect in alpine terrain. Additionally there were several other reports further south in the region of natural and explosives triggered persistent slab avalanches to size 3.5 on northwest aspects in the alpine.On Monday, a large (size 3) avalanche was triggered by a skier in the north of the region. It is likely that it released on weak faceted grains near the base of the snowpack, as described in the snowpack summary.On Sunday, a small (size 1.5) skier-triggered avalanche was noted in the north of the region. It occurred in steep terrain above a cliff and the avalanche released to the ground, likely within the weak snow described in the snowpack summary.These reports indicate that basal instabilities are still possible to trigger by humans, particularly in the north of the region.
Snowpack Summary
Wind slabs are reported as being widespread in lee and cross-loaded terrain features at treeline and alpine elevations. Wind slabs may be found on all aspects due to variable wind directions.There are deeper weaknesses in the snowpack. Professionals are still tracking a layer around 80 to 120 cm deep, composed of sugary faceted grains, feathery surface hoar, and a sun crust. The base of the snowpack may also still be composed of weak faceted grains. Humans could trigger these layers in areas where the snowpack is shallow.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 10th, 2019 2:00PM