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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 4th, 2017–Apr 5th, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: Little Yoho.

Hazard is rated Low in the morning below tree-line. It may rise to Considerable in the afternoon with rising freezing levels and temperatures, especially if there is any sun affect.

Weather Forecast

Expect another good freeze tonight. Tomorrow flurries and showers move into the region with freezing levels climbing to 2100 m . Freezing levels will remain at this level Wednesday and Thursday night with flurries and showers through both days.

Snowpack Summary

On shaded aspects or higher in the alpine, up to 20 cm sits on a well settled mid-pack. In shallow areas (Field ice climbs) the base is weak and facetted. Shears persist on this facet interface. In deeper areas (Little Yoho Valley), the deep weak layers are less of a concern. Expect buried sun crusts on solar aspects, and a melt freeze crust BTL,

Avalanche Summary

Several cornice triggered avalanches up to size 2 were reported on the Wapta Monday.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

The snowpack is stabilizing after the last avalanche cycle, and now we are left with a low probability, high consequence problem. Natural avalanches have mostly ceased, but triggering is still possible - especially from large loads like cornices.

  • Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 4

Cornices

Cornices are big and we are getting regular reports of cornices failing. A large cornice fall could trigger a bigger avalanche on the slope below.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2