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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 12th, 2022–Apr 13th, 2022
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Coastal.

Heightened avalanche conditions exist on wind-loaded slopes after strong outflow winds have hammered the region.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the speed, direction, or duration of the wind and its effect on the snowpack.

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy skies, no precipitation, 30-50 km/h wind from the northeast, treeline temperature drop to -15 C.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny, no precipitation, 20-40 km/h wind from the northeast, treeline temperatures reach -10 C.

THURSDAY: Sunny, no precipitation, light wind from the northeast, treeline temperatures reach -7 C.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny, light wind from the east, treeline temperatures reach -5 C.

Avalanche Summary

Early reports from Tuesday suggest the strong outflow wind caused some large natural avalanches in steep terrain near Stewart. Over the weekend there were a few large natural cornice, wind slab, and dry loose avalanches (size 2-2.5), and one small human-triggered wind slab (size 1). While this past activity was focused on northeast-facing slopes, the wind slab problem has since shifted to west aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Open terrain has been affected by strong outflow wind that has scoured east-facing slopes and loaded snow onto west-facing slopes. Sheltered areas may still have soft snow. Above 1200 m, 80 to 120 cm of settled storm snow rests on a hard melt-freeze crust from late March. The snow has been bonding to this crust.

Note that cornices are very large and exposure to them should be minimized, especially during warm or windy weather.

Terrain and Travel

  • Stay off recently wind loaded slopes until they have had a chance to stabilize.
  • Cornices often break further back than expected; give them a wide berth when traveling on ridgetops.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent outflow wind has left slabs on west and south facing slopes in the alpine and near ridgetops at treeline. These slabs could remain reactive to human-triggering for a few more days.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2