Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 17th, 2022 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Loose Wet and Storm Slabs.
ahanna,
Avalanche Canada
Heavy, wet snow is prone to loose wet slides in steep terrain. If you get high enough to find dry snow, watch for storm slabs to be especially reactive in wind-loaded terrain features.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Forecast precipitation (either snow or rain) amounts are uncertain.
Weather Forecast
Thursday night: Snowfall 5-15 cm, strong west wind, high of +2, freezing level 1100 m.
Friday: Snowfall 5-15 cm, strong, southwest wind, high of +2, freezing level 1200 m.
Saturday: 10-15 cm overnight then flurries, moderate west wind, high of -1, freezing level 800 m.
Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud, light, northwest wind, high of -2, freezing level 600 m.
Avalanche Summary
Preliminary reports from the storm include widespread natural loose wet activity averaging size 1 around Shames. Further north, industrial operators have reported storm slabs running naturally size 1-1.5 and explosive triggered size 2.
Â
Snowpack Summary
Ongoing snowfall amid strong wind has accumulated 20-40 cm of heavy, moist new and recent snow over a thick rain crust at all elevations. The 10-30 cm thick rain crust makes human triggering of avalanches on weak layers deeper in the snowpack very unlikely.
However, cornices overhead are a primary concern during sunny, warm, or windy conditions. Cornice failures can trigger very large persistent slab avalanches that would otherwise be difficult to human trigger.
Terrain and Travel
- Use increased caution at all elevations. Storm snow is forming touchy slabs.
- Be careful to keep storm day fever from luring you out into bigger terrain features.
- Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.
- Keep in mind that wet avalanches can be destructive due to their high density.
Problems
Loose Wet
Loose wet avalanches are likely on steep slopes in areas where precipitation falls as rain or heavy, wet snow.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Storm Slabs
New and recent snow and wind continue to build storm slabs over a thick rain crust. Storm slabs will be most reactive in wind affected terrain.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 18th, 2022 4:00PM
