Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Apr 27 – 28, 2019Parks Canada
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Archived · expired 7 years ago

Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

A strong upslope storm has delivered heavy snowfall to the East and built windslabs in unusual places.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2.5

    Strong winds and heavy snowfall (heaviest in the front ranges) has built fresh slabs on most aspects.  Be particularly cautious on planar slopes where the new snow overlies a crust.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    Loading from new snow has likely increased the sensitivity of this layer.

Weather Forecast

The low pressure center that drove Saturdays upslope moves into the prairies allowing cool air from the North East to establish itself over our area.

Sunday: Clear periods in the AM, with increasing cloud and flurries in the PM. Treeline temperature: Low -11 C, High -6 C. Ridge wind light northeast (gusting moderate). Freezing level: 1500 metres.

Snowpack Summary

A strong upslope has delivered over 30cm of snow in the front ranges, and up to 20cm in the Icefields region. This new snow is being reverse loaded by NE winds and will overly several crusts/facet layers in the upper snowpack. Windslabs can be expected on most aspects in the alpine. A faceted layer midpack on shady alpine aspects remains a concern.

Avalanche Summary

Poor visibility today, expect an avalanche cycle is ongoing with heavy loading from new snow and wind.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Regions covered