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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 22nd, 2023–Apr 23rd, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Coastal, Nass, Rupert, Shames, Stewart, Ningunsaw.

Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Concern for triggering large persistent slab avalanches remains. Avoid steep, rocky, and wind affected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

A cornice-triggered size 2 wind slab was reported on a northwest aspect in the alpine on Friday.

Two persistent slab avalanches were reported northwest of Terrace on April 12th. A skier triggered size 2 on a north aspect in the alpine and a size 2.5 on an east aspect in the alpine that was triggered by solar radiation. Both failed on a layer of weak facets and/or surface hoar down 40-50 cm.

A fatal avalanche occurred north of Stewart on April 11th. It was a skier-triggered size 3 persistent slab avalanche that occurred on a northeast aspect in the alpine.

Most professional operations are now closed which means we have very little snowpack or avalanche observation data. Please consider sharing any information or photos you have on the Mountain Information Network to help guide our forecasts.

Snowpack Summary

Strong southerly wind may have formed wind slabs on lee aspects at treeline and above. A crust exists up to ridgetop on south-facing slopes and on all aspects up to approximately 1300 m.

The primary concern is two buried weak layers down 40-140 cm deep in most areas. They include facets and surface hoar in shaded areas and a melt-freeze crust elsewhere. Numerous human-triggered persistent slab avalanches have occurred on these layers during the past week.

The mid and lower snowpack is considered generally strong and well-bonded. In the far northern reaches of the region, basal facets may exist which are currently considered inactive. This layer may become active with abrupt changes to the snowpack, such as rapid loading (heavy snowfall or rain) or prolonged warming.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with flurries; 3-15 cm (rain below 1000 m) / 30 km/h south ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -1 C / Freezing level 1100 m

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries; 0-5 cm (rain below 1100 m) / 30 km/h south ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around 0 C / Freezing level 1300 m

Monday

Cloudy with isolated flurries; 3-5 cm / 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -1 C / Freezing level 1200 m

Tuesday

Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries; 0-3 cm / 35 km/h southwest ridgetop wind / Temperature at treeline around -2 C / Freezing level 1100 m

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.