Avalanche forecast

Kananaskis

Mar 3 – 4, 2024Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 3 years ago

Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
3 · Considerable

Highlights

The natural avalanche cycle has started to taper off. That means the snowpack is 100% primed for human triggering. Be very suspect of any slope that has not avalanched and make very conservative decisions for the following days as the snowpack has time to adjust and heal. People are reporting excellent skiing. Equal amounts of people are reporting large whumpfs and close calls with avalanches. The Canmore hill remains closed while snow removal crews work tirelessly to get the roads safe for travel once again.

A Special Public Avalanche Warning is in effect. Click the red SPAW link for details.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Very Likely
    Size
    2–3

    Failures within the recent snow including windslabs, and storm slabs from rapid settlement have been observed in all elevations. Open areas below treeline where the new now is settling should be carefully evaluated.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Very Likely
    Size
    1–3

    New snow is overloading the Feb 3rd persistent layer interface that developed in the warm spell in early February.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2.5–3.5

    Avalanches may step down to the weeker deep basal layers.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Thanks again for great Min reports! found: Here.

Sunday KMR was able to get out and complete an avalanche control mission. East end of Mt. Rundle performed well and debris hit the Canmore hill burying the road up to 5 meters deep and 20 meters wide.

Mt. Buller also ran full path several times and was impressive propagation in the large open alpine and treeline features.

On the flight, pretty good visibility showed continued evidence of a wide spread avalanche cycle on all aspects running far.

Snowpack Summary

60-90cm of recent snow is now overlying the Feb 3rd crust complex. Storm slabs and wind slabs can be expected in this new snow which will be easy to trigger with a skiers weight. A weak layer of faceted crystals also exists above and below this crust that has been producing moderate sheers. This new snow is beginning to overload this layer and cause a natural avalanche cycle. The November basal facets are alive and well and back on our radar as the February 2 rain crust is deteriorating and not locking in the weaknesses below as it once did. Skier weight has now been able to break through the Feb 2 rain crust in some places, which means that the basal facets can now be more easily affected.

Weather Summary

Monday:

Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries 3-5cm.

Day time high -13 with light West winds

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of strong wind.

Regions covered