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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 14th, 2026–Jan 15th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

South Coast Inland, Birkenhead, Duffey, South Chilcotin, Stein, Taseko.

Avalanches are unlikely due to a strong surface crust. Avalanche danger could increase if the crust fails to refreeze overnight or weakens under warm temperatures and full sun.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to how quickly the snowpack will recover and gain strength.

Avalanche Summary

Earlier in the week, a widespread wet avalanche cycle occurred during periods of warming and heavy rain.

Moving forward, we expect minimal avalanche activity while a strong surface crust exists. However, conditions could change as the crust weakens during periods of daytime warming and solar effects, or later this week as warmer temperatures are expected.

Snowpack Summary

A melt–freeze crust is likely present on the surface across most elevations, except at the lower elevations, below treeline. The thickness and strength of this crust are expected to vary significantly.

Beneath the crust, moist snow persists in the upper snowpack due to recent warm and wet conditions. At higher elevations, a lingering layer of surface hoar or a thin crust formed in early January is buried approximately 40 to 80 cm below the surface.

The mid and lower snowpack is well settled, with resistance increasing with depth.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night
Mostly clear skies. 10 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.

Thursday
Sunny. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.

Friday
Sunny. 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C, with a chance of slight temperature inversion. Freezing level 3000 m.

Saturday
Sunny. 10 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 3200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.
  • Limit exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes, especially when the solar radiation is strong.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.