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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 15th, 2026–Jan 16th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast Inland, Birkenhead, Duffey, South Chilcotin, Stein, Taseko.

Wet loose potential will increase over the day with sunny skies and warm temperatures.

Steep sun-facing slopes are where you are most likely to trigger a wet loose avalanche.

Confidence

High

  • Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Avalanche Summary

We expect minimal avalanche activity while the strong surface crust persists. However, conditions could change as the crust weakens during periods of daytime warming and sunny skies.

Cornices are large and looming after the recent storm. Keep them in mind during this warming trend, they can act as large triggers for slopes below.

Snowpack Summary

A crust of varying thicknesses is widespread at the surface across higher elevations. Below the crust, our recent 40 to 80 cm of storm snow is moist.

At low elevations, a crust may not have formed overnight, and the snowpack is moist to the ground.

The mid and lower snowpack is well settled, with resistance increasing with depth.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night
Clear skies. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 2700 m.

Friday
Sunny. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 3300 m.

Saturday
Sunny. 10 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 5 °C. Freezing level 3400 m.

Sunday
Sunny. 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 5 °C. Freezing level 3200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • Pay attention to cornices and give them a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.
  • Limit exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes, especially when the solar radiation is strong.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.