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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 11th, 2022–Mar 12th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Columbia.

10-20 cm of forecast snow and moderate west winds on Friday night will form fresh storm slabs that will be most reactive in wind affected terrain. 

Start in simple terrain and use small slopes with low consequence to test the bond of the new snow.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: Snow; 10-20 cm / Moderate west winds / Low of -7 / Freezing level valley bottom.

SATURDAY: Flurries; 3-5 cm / Light southwest wind / High of -1 / Freezing level 1300 m.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries; 0-5 cm / Light southwest wind / High of 0 / Freezing level 1500 m.

MONDAY: Flurries; 5-10 cm / Moderate southwest wind / High of 1 / Freezing level 1600 m.

Avalanche Summary

A few skier triggered size 1 wind slabs primarily on northerly aspects in the alpine were reported on Thursday.

Heavy loads, such as cornice failures, can trigger large avalanches on deeply buried weak layers.

Snowpack Summary

10-20 cm of forecast snow and moderate west winds on Friday night will form fresh storm slabs that will be most reactive in wind affected terrain.

The new snow will be sitting on a variety of surfaces including hard wind affected snow, sun crusts on southerly slopes, and surface hoar on shady or sheltered slopes. Expect storm slabs to be most reactive where they are sitting on either a sun crust or surface hoar.

The late February persistent weak layer combination of crust, facets and surface hoar is down 30-40 cm. Reports suggest this layer is becoming less reactive in most areas.

Two persistent weak layers from mid February and late January are buried 50-120cm deep. No recent avalanches have been reported on these layers but they continue to produce the occasional notable result in snowpack tests.

The most likely triggers of these persistent weak layers are large triggers such as smaller avalanches in motion, cornices, or snowmobiles.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.
  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.
  • Minimize your exposure time below cornices.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.