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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 29th, 2018–Mar 30th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Columbia.

New snow and wind Thursday night and Friday will add to recent storm slabs that sit on a touchy crust/facet/surface hoar layer. Choose conservative terrain and be especially wary of wind-loaded areas and solar aspects.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

TONIGHT: Flurries. Accumulation 5-10 cm. Ridge wind moderate to strong, west. Alpine temperature near -6. Freezing level 500 m. FRIDAY: Flurries. Accumulation 5-10 cm. Ridge wind moderate to strong, northwest. Alpine temperature near -5. Freezing level 1500 m.SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Ridge wind light, west. Alpine temperature near -5. Freezing level 1500 m.SUNDAY: Cloudy, flurries. Accumulation 2-5 cm. Ridge wind light to moderate, southwest. Alpine temperature near -5. Freezing level 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

Reports of widespread natural avalanche activity on all aspects in the alpine from size 1.5 to 3 were received on Tuesday and Wednesday. These were predominantly failing on the recently buried, late-March interface with crown depths of 30-40 cm and up to 100 cm in some areas. Several skier and remotely (from a distance) triggered avalanches up to size 2 were also reported on Wednesday. These were also in alpine terrain and failed on the March crust/surface hoar layers with crown depths from 25-80 cm.Skier's on Grizzly Mountain in Roger's Pass reported triggering a size 2 on Wednesday. See MIN report.On Monday, backcountry skiers triggered a size 2 wind slab near the Asulkan cabin on a northeast aspect near 2050m. The slab's thickness varied from 40-60cm. See the MIN report for more details.And on Sunday several natural and skier-triggered storm and wind slabs to size 2 were reported, on southeast through northeast aspects between 1900m and 2600m. Some ran on the March 18th layer.

Snowpack Summary

Storm snow amounts from Tuesday's storm vary widely across the region and range from about 30- 60 cm, and taper with elevation.This snow has buried the old interface from late-March which consists of; a supportive crust on solar and all aspects below 1900 m, and old wind slabs, facets and surface hoar on high northerly aspects.Pockets of surface hoar (buried mid- March) have been reported on shaded aspects at higher elevations and may be found approximately 60-80 cm below the surface. Deeper persistent weak layers from January and December are still being reported by professional observers but are generally considered dormant.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.